Sunday, October 20, 2013

Consumer Protection in Financial services –Some aspects

Consumer Protection  in Financial services –Some aspects
Recent move by the Reserve Bank of India, putting a stop to the so called “Zero Interest schemes by Banks was a very welcome move. Just as one was feeling happy reading this, clearly a step towards greater transparency and a good progressive  measure towards increased consumer protection, came the dampener   a few days later,  that RBI’s announcement  could possible apply only to  Banks and not to NBFC s( Non-Banking Financial Companies) meaning that all the Finance Companies can continue to offer Zero Interest rates.
Why Zero Interest schemes are really not Zero Interest? Most of the lenders charge a significant amount as “processing charges”. Actual processing effort may be insignificant and charging a large processing fee on the “buyer/borrower” is nothing but an upfront interest collection. Such Zero Interest schemes are generally operated in respect of “Durables” and run for a period of just about a year (12 Equated Monthly Installments ) or in some cases could be a bit longer period. On a Consumer durable of Rs. 25,000, processing fee of Rs. 4,000 is 16% PA and the entire processing fee is collected upfront. Calling interest as “processing fees” does not change the fact that there is an underlying financial cost.
There is need for transparency. Precisely for this, that is, for protection of all types of consumers, that the Government had progressively brought in various measures like the compulsory need to have an all-inclusive MRP (Maximum Retail price), the need to clearly mention the weight of contents on the label etc. Old timers may recall a period when the packages used to carry “Price…..Rs…” plus local taxes. This used to give ample scope for misuse.
Government also had enacted a Consumer protection Act, 1986 providing protection to consumers on various aspects, like price, quantity and quality.
A complicated law or a law which draws oblique references or a law which gives rise to varying interpretations or even a law which is not laid out in simple and clear terms become just laws in the books and do not really contribute to ensure what it was enacted to achieve.
People availing of Banking and financial services are in fact covered by the Consumer Protection Act, 1986. The Act does talk of shortfall in services and misleading statements, which can be a cause for “complaint”, but let us look at some aspects in the Financial services Industry which are misleading without appearing to be so. The players in financial services Industry, at least many of them if not all of them, mislead borrowers /lenders in very subtle ways. Let us examine some aspects.
Companies quoting Simple interest rates-termed as Yields
Companies which take in “deposits” from the public talk of Annualized yields. What is this yield? A,     Rs. 1,000, 5 years cumulative deposit on which, a 12% PA interest is payable, would be Rs. 1762 at the end of 5 years. Companies quote it as yield of 15.24% per annum. People who have some basic understanding of finance and interest methodologies know that this is nothing but “simple interest”. Compare this with an honest Company which has very similar terms but announces that they pay on a 5 year cumulative deposit an annualized interest rate of 12% at yearly rests. There is absolutely no difference  at all in the terms but the consumers would gravitate towards the 15.24% interest  after all a 15.24% interest is better than a 12% interest, never understanding the simple Interest  Vs. Compound interest aspects.
Interest accumulations at monthly Vs. Quarterly vs. Annual rests-Compounded
We all know that Interest at monthly or quarterly or yearly rests make a difference to the overall returns. A 12% coupon rate at monthly rests is 12.68% on an annualized basis, the same at quarterly rests is 12.55% and at annual rests is 12%.
When a retail depositor compares, he has to be given a logical comparison. The attempt is always to give out a comparison computed on different assumptions. To evade the long arm of the regulatory authorities, the Companies which come out with advertisements always have a footnote or fine print where so much information is loaded that one finds it difficult to make the critical ones from the non-critical ones, the result is nothing gets read by the depositor.
Flat rate Vs. Reduced balance method
Just as Companies beef up the rates of interest when they borrow to make it seem attractive to the depositors, they take exactly the opposite tack when it comes to lending. Obviously when lending, the Financial services Companies have to communicate how attractive their lending rates are Vis a Vis the Competitors. Lower the interest rate, real or illusory, better for the finance companies to attract borrowers. A very common method is the bold, headline grabbing interest rates, which come with a footnote or qualification, “flat rate”. “Flat rate” is nothing but charge of interest on the original amount borrowed, ignoring the EMIs (Equated monthly installments) paid on a monthly basis. The normal and the correct method is “reducing balance method” would obviously be much higher. Such lending is resorted to on “Cars” and “vehicles”. To illustrate the disparity, a so called flat rate of 7% for a loan taken for 5 years on which repayments are made on a monthly basis would be a little over 11% under the “reducing balance method”. When Companies advertise “Flat rates”, what incentive would be there for other Companies/competitors to be transparent and honest, after all, it would cost them business.
In some of the countries like United States of America, there is a requirement to quote the rate only in APP or Annual Percentage points or APR (Annual percentage rate), which is nothing but expressing the rate of interest at annual rests basis. The idea is to make it really comparable.
Consumer protection in the financial services does not require a great enactment; all it requires is making standardization a compulsion. Standard terms and methodologies can be defined to make the financial services company express their cost as an equivalent of MRP (Maximum Retail Price), or in this case we can evolve something called a Maximum Interest Cost Percentage-MICP.

We all know that even stalwarts and seasoned finance professionals got hoodwinked a few years back on so called “esoteric” derivatives by top class and reputed Banks in the Country. The unknowing and sometime gullible public definitely requires protection and transparency and standardization can be starting points towards that.

Submitted to CA Club 

Friday, October 18, 2013

Sundaram Clayton


18 -Oct-2013

Very surprising , TVS Motors has been going up from mid 30 s to mid 40 s(almost 33% increase), the Company which holds 57% in TVSM , Sundaram Clayton has gone down by almost 20%.While most Holding Companies quote at 30-40% discount Vis a Vis the intrinsic value, SCL is less than 50% of the Subsidiary market cap embedded .
Each share of SCL has 14 shares of TVSM ownership , which at current rate is Rs 630 per share of SCL and SCL is selling at Rs 290 less than half , not counting the value it has as a standalone operation in Auto ancilliary

Definitely worth a buy , there is also a possibility of TVSM picking up well. TVSM has almost Rs 1200 Crs export revenue, net forex revenues of Rs 700 Crs almost. With the rupee having depreciated by 20%, the upside in bottomline could be anywhere between Rs 30-50 Crs unless the management had got in to hedging or derivative mess.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Page Industries Market Capitalisation etc

Read a piece in ET on how Page Industries which is an exclusive licencee of Jocky International in India has a market cap of around Rs 4900 Crs when Companies like Unitech, Ashok Leyland, Indian Hotels, Apollo Tyres and similar better knwo and larger Companies are valued lower. The reason of course is ,Page Industries has been growing at 30% plus , has a high recall brand at it its command, has some 23,000 outlets and planning to expand to 40,000 outlets, operates in 1100 or so cities and towns.
The report also mentions that the Company has a capacity to produce 13.6 Crs pieces up from 2.1 Crs pieces in 2007.
It is quoting at Rs 4460, a PE multiple of 40 plus. It has a revenue tunrover of Rs 864 Crs and an EPS of Rs 110.

The report also talks of how the innerwear market is still underpenetrated (?) in India and that there is enough headspace to grow Vis a Vis markets like Vietnam, Thailand etc , per capita spend being 90% less than the markets mentioned

The big catch of course could be  the fact that Page Industries does not own the Jockey Brand and one has to see how long the exclusivity will run.

The sort of logic of Indian per capital consumption being lower is true of almost all products,commodities etc.While the Comparison does make sense, it does not make more sense that what it makes in relation to other Companies. It is not a big differentiator Vis a Vis other Companies and Industries.
Industrials and Infra fares badly in Comparison at this point of time since most of then are in deep debt and the investment cycle appears to be at its low. 

Brand and Franchise model works out very well for valuations but a Franchisee itself being valued so high, does not look like a long term story unless it is an irrevocable exclusivity for atleast 10 years or the compensation for revocation is so high that the revocation will not happen.Debt did not look too high but one has to look at the current assets to get an idea of whether the profits are all "Cash" profits or contrived, i suppose ,it must be okay on operational parameters , it could be the strategic one in terns of the period for which exclusivity will run and also the other aspect of whether similar brands can come up and set shop and outlets in quick time ?